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Gay man who predicted US presidential results is Out Magazine’s Person of the Year

Gay man who predicted US presidential results is Out Magazine’s Person of the Year

Nate Silver, the most unlikely political superstar to emerge from last month’s US presidential election, was announced as Out Magazine’s inaugural Person of the Year on Tuesday (18 December).

Silver who predicted, with uncanny accuracy, how Barack Obama would defeat Mitt Romney.

He made his prediction – 90.9 percent certainty of an Obama win – months before an election that most experts were saying was too close to call even on the morning of the vote.

Silver, who is openly gay, also correctly predicted the electoral college results in 50 out of 50 states.

In the Out profile, he fires back at some of his critics, including conservative pundit Peggy Noonan who the day before the election, claimed Romney was ‘slipping into the presidency.’

‘Peggy Noonan is someone who is very, very skilled at making bullshit look like some elegant soufflé,’ Silver says in response to a pre-election dig at him from Noonan. ‘She’s very good at rhetoric and argument, but it’s still not grounded in the truth – it all falls apart every four years, but I don’t think she’ll be out of a job any time soon.’

Silver is editor of FiveThirtyEight, a blog hosted by The New York Times that attracted both fans and haters.

Silver depended on numbers instead of political bias.

‘I think I have a better value system than the pundits – I care about truth, and I care about informing people, and they care about ratings. So that’s where I tend to play offense.’ he says.

He’s also very independent by nature.

‘For me, I think the most important distinguishing characteristic is that I’m independent-minded,’ Silver says. ‘I’m sure that being gay encouraged the independent-mindedness, but that same independent-mindedness makes me a little bit skeptical of parts of gay culture, I suppose.’

As for the future, he is continuing with his blog for now and is currently working on a new book proposal.

‘I don’t know what yet, but certainly one idea of this election is why do people believe the things they believe; why did people believe Romney was likely to win, in contradiction to the polls?’ he says.