The counties where Trump held campaign rallies in 2016 saw a 226% increase in reported hate crimes, a study says.
The study measured the correlation between counties that hosted a 2016 campaign rally and the number of hate crimes reported in the following months. For their data, they used the Anti-Defamation League’s Hate, Extremism, Anti-Semitism, Terrorism map data (HEAT map).
When compared to counties that didn’t host a rally, the report found a 226% increase in reported hate crimes.
The study was conducted by University of North Texas professors Regina Branton and Valerie Martinez-Ebers, alongside PhD candidate Ayal Feinberg. The Washington Post published an analysis of the report.
‘Hard to discount a “Trump effect”‘
They noted their study ‘cannot be certain’ Trump’s rhetoric led to such an increase and noted that these results indicated correlation.
But they also dismissed the suggestion that the reported hate crimes were fake.
The analysis said: ‘In fact, this charge is frequently used as a political tool to dismiss concerns about hate crimes. Research shows it is far more likely that hate crime statistics are considerably lower because of under-reporting.
‘Additionally, it is hard to discount a “Trump effect” when a considerable number of these reported hate crimes reference Trump.
‘According to the ADL’s 2016 data, these incidents included vandalism, intimidation and assault.’
This is also inline with FBI data. A report published in November 2018 found a 17% increase in reported hate crimes across the US in 2017, compared to the year before.