LGBT voters could decide the outcome of a second Brexit referendum, a YouGov poll found.
A January 2019 survey showed that, if there is a new public vote on whether the UK should remain in the European Union, gay, lesbian, bisexual and trans voters could make a difference.
Polling experts at YouGov conducted the largest survey on Brexit since the 2016 referendum, questioning more than 25,000 electors. They also included 1,559 LGBT voters.
How many LGBT voters would vote Remain today?
When asked ‘If there were a referendum today on whether or not the UK should remain a member of the European Union, how would you vote?’ 71% of LGBT voters said they would vote to remain a member of the EU.
LGBT voters support Remain by 71% to 29%. Despite LGBT voters comprising only 6% to 7% percent of all voters, their 42-point Remain lead has a pronounced effect on the overall figures. This would double Remain’s lead from 4% to 8%.
For comparison, only 52% of heterosexual voters would vote Remain.
If the views of only heterosexual voters are counted, the lead halves to four points. Many believe a 52% to 48% verdict is too close for comfort.
In the case of a second referendum, if Remain wins narrowly, it is possible that a slight majority of heterosexual voters will vote Leave. Therefore, there would be up to the decisive pro-Remain votes of the LGBT communities to secure a Remain victory.
Straight and LGBT voters think the Brexit negotiations has been ‘a mess’
More than 70% of both straight and LGBT voters agree that the Government is handling the Brexit negotiations badly.
They also believe Britain is unlikely to get a good deal from the EU.
Moreover, they think ‘it is likely that many of the promises made by politicians in favor of leaving the EU will be broken’, and all in all, ‘the process of leaving the EU so far has been a mess’.
LGBT voters are significantly more pessimistic about the impact of Brexit on Britain’s economy. Many are fearing the consequences of a withdrawal from the EU on ‘the standard of living of you and your family’ and the National Health Service.
Finally, both straight and LGBT voters regard the ability to trade freely within the EU more important that the right to control immigration.
The margin among heterosexual voters is 14 points (47% to 33%), whereas it is 38 points among LGBT voters (60% to 22%).
Put It To The People march
Following A People’s Vote March on 20 October 2018, The People’s Vote campaign for a second referendum on Brexit has announced a march the weekend before the UK leaves the EU.
On 23 March, members of the LGBT community will march together once again, demanding whatever conclusion Parliament comes to, they Put it to the People in a People’s Vote. They will form up into the official LGBTI column for the general march.
The new demonstration, supported by GSN, is likely to be even bigger than last year’s march, which attracted a record-breaking crowd of about 700,000.